Polls show that these changes have not yet trigger any significant changes in election result predictions. At the moment four parties would certainly make it to the parliament – the novices of Miro Cerar’s team (SMC), Janša’s Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS), the Pensioners’ Party (DeSUS) and Social Democrats (SD). But the decisive battle will be fought amid the parties that walk on the brink of electoral threshold. Among them the New Slovenia party (NSi) has the best prospects, whereas the moves of the outgoing PM put her party at the greatest gamble.
The new coalition’s structure will depend on the parties that will join the leading four in crossing the electoral threshold. If Miro Cerar does indeed become the formateur of the new coalition government, he will definitely invite parties from the left as well as the right political spectrum to join the coalition. Even though his predictions are still a bit fuzzy, it’s become apparent that there will be not big coalition with Janša’s SDS but he plans to avoid a politically monotonous government.
The last days of campaigning will probably witness political battles on multiple levels. SDS will gather the forces around its imprisoned president, which indicates that part of the election race will still take place in the streets. Smaller parties will fight for survival, perhaps even with some low blows and negative-charged campaigning. Miro Cerar will probably try to avoid saying too much in the last pre-election confrontations. Judging by the polls, fuzzy future is what the citizens of Slovenia, tired of politics, expect from the upcoming elections.