He has formed a coalition, although it differs from his wishes. In spite of the safe majority in the parliament the fact that the coalition formed by the new mandatary will be unicolour, left-wing, brings his first defeat.
There are no assurances that the internal commotion which had shortened the mandates of the previous governments might be avoided. On the contrary, the fate of this coalition lies in the hands of DeSUS Party, thus giving to Karl Erjavec great political power. And judging from previous experiences, he will most certainly use this power at the right moment. The third partner, the social democrats, is a party which is presently without an elected president, and which suffered two defeats in elections in a couple of months. This makes it vulnerable, and unpredictable.

Thus the shrunk coalition does not assure political stability to Cerar, especially in view of surprises obviously hiding in his own party as well. If the new mandatary starts losing his closest co-workers due to real or imaginary affairs, he will become an easy target for his political competitors, and for interest groups which had abducted the state in the past decades.
Neither the coalition nor the contents of the coalition agreement are inducing optimism at this moment. Yet Miro Cerar Party does have a record majority in the Parliament, and is still largely supported by the public opinion. The opportunity for a breakthrough therefore still exists. Yet they will be able to take advantage of the opportunity only if they gain political skills quickly.